Novorizontino 3 x 1 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 26

Novorizontino

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3 × 1

Avaí

Away

Saturday, September 5 · 04:00 PMEstádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Novorizontino win53.2%

Draw34.9%

Avaí win11.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals58.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat Avaí 3 to 1 at home, Saturday, September 5, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi and in the Série B 2026.

Novorizontino had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 15 to 5, and corners were 8 to 2.

Novorizontino arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Novorizontino, 0 for Avaí and 3 draws.

Match statistics

53%Possession47%

8On target4

15Shots5

8Corners2

13Fouls10

0Offsides3

3Saves5

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NovorizontinoWWWDL

Novorizontino's last matches
08/28	Novorizontino 2x1 Sport Recife
08/24	Athletic Club 1x4 Novorizontino
08/20	Novorizontino 3x0 América Mineiro
08/16	CRB 0x0 Novorizontino
08/09	Novorizontino 0x1 Juventude

AvaíLWWWL

Avaí's last matches
08/30	Avaí 0x1 Atlético GO
08/23	Ponte Preta 0x2 Avaí
08/19	Avaí 2x1 Sport Recife
08/16	Operário PR 1x2 Avaí
08/11	Avaí 0x1 CRB

Head-to-head

Last matches between Novorizontino and Avaí
05/03/2026	Avaí 3x3 Novorizontino
08/03/2025	Novorizontino 1x1 Avaí
04/06/2025	Avaí 1x1 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about Novorizontino vs Avaí

What was the score of Novorizontino vs Avaí?: Novorizontino 3 x 1 Avaí, Saturday, September 5, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Avaí?: The model pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Novorizontino vs Avaí?: Novorizontino had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 15 to 5, and corners were 8 to 2.
How did Novorizontino and Avaí arrive for this match?: Novorizontino arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Novorizontino, 0 for Avaí and 3 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.