Náutico 1 x 0 Botafogo SP: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 26

Náutico

Home

1 × 0

Botafogo SP

Away

Thursday, September 3 · 08:00 PMEstádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win38.3%

Draw40.7%

Botafogo SP win21.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals44.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Náutico beat Botafogo SP 1 to 0 at home, Thursday, September 3, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 9 to 10, and corners were 5 to 2.

Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo SP 1 x 1 Náutico.

Match statistics

57%Possession43%

4On target4

9Shots10

5Corners2

16Fouls9

1Offsides6

4Saves3

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoWDWDD

Náutico's last matches
08/28	Náutico 2x1 Athletic Club
08/23	São Bernardo 1x1 Náutico
08/18	Náutico 1x0 Ceará
08/14	Ponte Preta 1x1 Náutico
08/09	Náutico 1x1 Atlético GO

Botafogo SPLLDWW

Botafogo SP's last matches
08/29	Botafogo SP 1x2 Cuiabá
08/25	Atlético GO 3x0 Botafogo SP
08/19	Botafogo SP 1x1 Criciúma
08/14	São Bernardo 0x1 Botafogo SP
08/08	Botafogo SP 2x1 América Mineiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Náutico and Botafogo SP
05/02/2026	Botafogo SP 1x1 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs Botafogo SP

What was the score of Náutico vs Botafogo SP?: Náutico 1 x 0 Botafogo SP, Thursday, September 3, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs Botafogo SP?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs Botafogo SP?: Náutico had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 9 to 10, and corners were 5 to 2.
How did Náutico and Botafogo SP arrive for this match?: Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo SP 1 x 1 Náutico.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.