Ceará 2 x 1 Sport Recife: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 26

Ceará

Home

2 × 1

Sport Recife

Away

Saturday, September 5 · 06:30 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ceará win23.3%

Draw41.6%

Sport Recife win35.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals44.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ceará beat Sport Recife 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, September 5, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 8 to 15, and corners were 9 to 9.

Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Ceará, 1 for Sport Recife and 1 draw.

Match statistics

39%Possession61%

4On target5

8Shots15

9Corners9

17Fouls7

2Offsides1

4Saves1

2Yellow cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CearáLWLLW

Ceará's last matches
08/30	Vila Nova 2x0 Ceará
08/22	Ceará 2x1 Londrina
08/18	Náutico 1x0 Ceará
08/15	Ceará 1x3 Cuiabá
08/07	Ceará 2x0 Ponte Preta

Sport RecifeLWLWW

Sport Recife's last matches
08/28	Novorizontino 2x1 Sport Recife
08/24	Sport Recife 3x0 América Mineiro
08/19	Avaí 2x1 Sport Recife
08/14	Sport Recife 2x1 Londrina
08/08	Vila Nova 0x1 Sport Recife

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ceará and Sport Recife
05/03/2026	Sport Recife 2x0 Ceará
06/20/2024	Ceará 0x0 Sport Recife

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Sport Recife

What was the score of Ceará vs Sport Recife?: Ceará 2 x 1 Sport Recife, Saturday, September 5, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ceará vs Sport Recife?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Sport Recife?: Sport Recife had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 8 to 15, and corners were 9 to 9.
How did Ceará and Sport Recife arrive for this match?: Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Ceará, 1 for Sport Recife and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.