What was the score of Grêmio vs São Paulo?

Grêmio 2 x 1 São Paulo, Saturday, August 8, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio 2 x 1 São Paulo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 22

Grêmio

Home

2 × 1

São Paulo

Away

Saturday, August 8 · 04:00 PMArena do Grêmio

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Grêmio win34.0%

Draw39.9%

São Paulo win26.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals27.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Grêmio beat São Paulo 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, August 8, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Série A 2026.

São Paulo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 8 to 13, and corners were 7 to 7.

Grêmio arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 2 for São Paulo and 0 draws.

Match statistics

48%Possession52%

5On target4

8Shots13

7Corners7

12Fouls19

2Offsides2

4Saves3

4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

GrêmioWDDLL

Grêmio's last matches
08/05	Grêmio 1x0 Mirassol
08/02	Mirassol 1x1 Grêmio
07/26	Grêmio 1x1 Fluminense
07/17	Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
05/30	Grêmio 1x3 Corinthians

São PauloDLLDL

São Paulo's last matches
07/26	Flamengo 1x1 São Paulo
07/22	São Paulo 1x2 Athletico PR
05/31	Remo 1x0 São Paulo
05/23	São Paulo 1x1 Botafogo
05/16	Fluminense 2x1 São Paulo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Grêmio and São Paulo
02/11/2026	São Paulo 2x0 Grêmio
05/17/2025	São Paulo 2x1 Grêmio

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 22

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs São Paulo

What was the score of Grêmio vs São Paulo?: Grêmio 2 x 1 São Paulo, Saturday, August 8, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Grêmio vs São Paulo?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs São Paulo?: São Paulo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 8 to 13, and corners were 7 to 7.
How did Grêmio and São Paulo arrive for this match?: Grêmio arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 2 for São Paulo and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.