Coritiba 2 x 1 Chapecoense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 22

Coritiba

Home

2 × 1

Chapecoense

Away

Saturday, August 8 · 08:30 PMEstádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Coritiba win55.0%

Draw34.6%

Chapecoense win10.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals47.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Coritiba beat Chapecoense 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, August 8, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira and in the Série A 2026.

Chapecoense had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 9 to 8, and corners were 5 to 6.

Coritiba arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Coritiba, 0 for Chapecoense and 2 draws.

Match statistics

36%Possession64%

4On target3

9Shots8

5Corners6

14Fouls11

1Offsides1

2Saves2

1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Coritiba win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CoritibaLDLLW

Coritiba's last matches
07/30	Coritiba 0x1 Cruzeiro
07/26	Bragantino 0x0 Coritiba
07/22	Coritiba 1x3 Palmeiras
05/30	Flamengo 3x0 Coritiba
05/25	Coritiba 3x2 Bahia

ChapecoenseLDDDL

Chapecoense's last matches
08/05	Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense
08/02	Chapecoense 0x0 Cruzeiro
07/28	Chapecoense 0x0 Vasco da Gama
07/25	Santos 2x2 Chapecoense
07/22	Chapecoense 0x4 Flamengo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Coritiba and Chapecoense
02/11/2026	Chapecoense 3x3 Coritiba
08/08/2025	Coritiba 0x0 Chapecoense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 22

Frequently asked questions about Coritiba vs Chapecoense

What was the score of Coritiba vs Chapecoense?: Coritiba 2 x 1 Chapecoense, Saturday, August 8, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Chapecoense?: The model pointed to a Coritiba win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Coritiba vs Chapecoense?: Chapecoense had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 9 to 8, and corners were 5 to 6.
How did Coritiba and Chapecoense arrive for this match?: Coritiba arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Coritiba, 0 for Chapecoense and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.