Cruzeiro 3 x 1 Mirassol: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 22

Cruzeiro

Home

3 × 1

Mirassol

Away

Sunday, August 9 · 11:00 AMEstádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cruzeiro win46.5%

Draw37.9%

Mirassol win15.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals42.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cruzeiro beat Mirassol 3 to 1 at home, Sunday, August 9, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto and in the Série A 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 9 to 8, and corners were 4 to 1.

Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Mirassol 2 x 2 Cruzeiro.

Match statistics

50%Possession50%

3On target4

9Shots8

4Corners1

14Fouls18

0Offsides2

3Saves0

3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Cruzeiro win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CruzeiroWDWLW

Cruzeiro's last matches
08/05	Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense
08/02	Chapecoense 0x0 Cruzeiro
07/30	Coritiba 0x1 Cruzeiro
07/26	Cruzeiro 0x1 Botafogo
07/22	Internacional 1x2 Cruzeiro

MirassolLDWDW

Mirassol's last matches
08/05	Grêmio 1x0 Mirassol
08/02	Mirassol 1x1 Grêmio
07/29	Mirassol 2x1 Remo
07/25	Vasco da Gama 1x1 Mirassol
07/17	Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio

Head-to-head

Last matches between Cruzeiro and Mirassol
02/11/2026	Mirassol 2x2 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 22

Frequently asked questions about Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

What was the score of Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?: Cruzeiro 3 x 1 Mirassol, Sunday, August 9, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?: The model pointed to a Cruzeiro win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?: Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 9 to 8, and corners were 4 to 1.
How did Cruzeiro and Mirassol arrive for this match?: Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Mirassol 2 x 2 Cruzeiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.