Botafogo 1 x 1 Fluminense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 22

Botafogo

Botafogo

Home

1 × 1

Fluminense

Fluminense

Away

Estádio Nilton Santos

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo win36.8%
Draw40.2%
Fluminense win23.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo and Fluminense drew 1 to 1, Saturday, August 8, at Estádio Nilton Santos and in the Série A 2026.

Fluminense had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 15 to 9, and corners were 7 to 7.

Botafogo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Fluminense 1 x 0 Botafogo.

Botafogo vs Fluminense stats

Match statistics
41%Possession59%
7On target4
15Shots9
7Corners7
16Fouls18
0Offsides1
3Saves6
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BotafogoWDWLD

Botafogo's last matches
07/26Cruzeiro 0x1 Botafogo
07/23Botafogo 0x0 Vitória
07/16Botafogo 2x1 Santos
05/30Bahia 2x1 Botafogo
05/23São Paulo 1x1 Botafogo

FluminenseLDDDD

Fluminense's last matches
08/05Fluminense 1x3 Vasco da Gama
08/01Vasco da Gama 0x0 Fluminense
07/29Fluminense 0x0 Bahia
07/26Grêmio 1x1 Fluminense
07/17Fluminense 1x1 Bragantino

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo and Fluminense
02/12/2026Fluminense 1x0 Botafogo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 22

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo vs Fluminense

What was the score of Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Botafogo 1 x 1 Fluminense, Saturday, August 8, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Fluminense?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Fluminense had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 15 to 9, and corners were 7 to 7.
How did Botafogo and Fluminense arrive for this match?
Botafogo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Fluminense 1 x 0 Botafogo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.