Rosario Central 5 x 0 Independiente Rivadavia: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 12

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

Home

5 × 0

Independiente Rivadavia

Independiente Rivadavia

Away

Estadio 15 de Abril

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Rosario Central win44.3%
Draw32.1%
Independiente Rivadavia win23.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals52.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Rosario Central beat Independiente Rivadavia 5 to 0 at home, Sunday, October 11, at Estadio 15 de Abril and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Rosario Central had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 17 to 5, and corners were 9 to 5.

Rosario Central arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Independiente Rivadavia arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Rosario Central, 1 for Independiente Rivadavia and 1 draw.

Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia stats

Match statistics
58%Possession42%
9On target3
17Shots5
9Corners5
9Fouls15
1Offsides2
3Saves4
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Rosario Central win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Rosario CentralDWWDL

Rosario Central's last matches
10/05Banfield 1x1 Rosario Central
09/20Rosario Central 1x0 Argentinos Juniors
09/13Tigre 0x1 Rosario Central
09/06Rosario Central 1x1 Newell's Old Boys
08/29Rosario Central 1x2 Gimnasia La Plata

Independiente RivadaviaDWWLW

Independiente Rivadavia's last matches
10/02Independiente Rivadavia 1x1 Gimnasia La Plata
09/21Barracas Central 0x1 Independiente Rivadavia
09/12Independiente Rivadavia 4x3 Aldosivi
09/06River Plate 3x1 Independiente Rivadavia
08/30Independiente Rivadavia 3x1 Racing Club

Head-to-head

Last matches between Rosario Central and Independiente Rivadavia
03/22/2026Independiente Rivadavia 2x0 Rosario Central
11/04/2024Independiente Rivadavia 1x1 Rosario Central

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 12

Frequently asked questions about Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia

What was the score of Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
Rosario Central 5 x 0 Independiente Rivadavia, Sunday, October 11, at Estadio 15 de Abril, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model pointed to a Rosario Central win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
Rosario Central had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 17 to 5, and corners were 9 to 5.
How did Rosario Central and Independiente Rivadavia arrive for this match?
Rosario Central arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Independiente Rivadavia arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Rosario Central, 1 for Independiente Rivadavia and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.