San Lorenzo 1 x 0 Deportivo Riestra: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 12

San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo

Home

1 × 0

Deportivo Riestra

Deportivo Riestra

Away

Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

What the model calculated before the match

Result

San Lorenzo win40.2%
Draw39.8%
Deportivo Riestra win20.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals10.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

San Lorenzo beat Deportivo Riestra 1 to 0 at home, Sunday, October 11, at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

San Lorenzo had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 10 to 7, and corners were 3 to 1.

San Lorenzo arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Deportivo Riestra arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for San Lorenzo, 1 for Deportivo Riestra and 2 draws.

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra stats

Match statistics
65%Possession35%
4On target3
10Shots7
3Corners1
11Fouls18
1Offsides2
3Saves3
3Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a San Lorenzo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

San LorenzoLLDWL

San Lorenzo's last matches
10/03Defensa y Justicia 3x0 San Lorenzo
09/20San Lorenzo 0x2 Boca Juniors
09/13Independiente 1x1 San Lorenzo
09/05San Lorenzo 1x0 Talleres Córdoba
08/31Instituto 1x0 San Lorenzo

Deportivo RiestraDDLDD

Deportivo Riestra's last matches
10/05Deportivo Riestra 1x1 Central Cordoba SdE
09/19Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0x0 Deportivo Riestra
09/14Deportivo Riestra 0x3 Lanús
09/04Platense 1x1 Deportivo Riestra
08/29Deportivo Riestra 1x1 Vélez Sarsfield

Head-to-head

Last matches between San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra
03/25/2026Deportivo Riestra 1x1 San Lorenzo
10/31/2025San Lorenzo 1x0 Deportivo Riestra
04/20/2025Deportivo Riestra 0x0 San Lorenzo
05/12/2024Deportivo Riestra 1x0 San Lorenzo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 12

Frequently asked questions about San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra

What was the score of San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
San Lorenzo 1 x 0 Deportivo Riestra, Sunday, October 11, at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model pointed to a San Lorenzo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
San Lorenzo had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 10 to 7, and corners were 3 to 1.
How did San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra arrive for this match?
San Lorenzo arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Deportivo Riestra arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for San Lorenzo, 1 for Deportivo Riestra and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.