Lanús 2 x 0 Vélez Sarsfield: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 12

Lanús

Lanús

Home

2 × 0

Vélez Sarsfield

Vélez Sarsfield

Away

Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Lanús win29.0%
Draw40.6%
Vélez Sarsfield win30.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Lanús beat Vélez Sarsfield 2 to 0 at home, Monday, October 12, at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Vélez Sarsfield had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 13 to 7, and corners were 5 to 6.

Lanús arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Vélez Sarsfield arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Lanús, 1 for Vélez Sarsfield and 2 draws.

Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield stats

Match statistics
48%Possession52%
6On target3
13Shots7
5Corners6
8Fouls13
4Offsides0
3Saves5
2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

LanúsDWWWL

Lanús's last matches
10/03Newell's Old Boys 0x0 Lanús
09/21Lanús 2x1 Estudiantes
09/14Deportivo Riestra 0x3 Lanús
09/06Lanús 1x0 Defensa y Justicia
08/28Boca Juniors 1x0 Lanús

Vélez SarsfieldDWDWD

Vélez Sarsfield's last matches
10/05Vélez Sarsfield 2x2 Platense
09/20Vélez Sarsfield 3x2 Tigre
09/11Newell's Old Boys 1x1 Vélez Sarsfield
09/05Vélez Sarsfield 1x0 Estudiantes
08/29Deportivo Riestra 1x1 Vélez Sarsfield

Head-to-head

Last matches between Lanús and Vélez Sarsfield
03/21/2026Vélez Sarsfield 0x1 Lanús
08/30/2025Vélez Sarsfield 3x0 Lanús
02/21/2025Lanús 0x0 Vélez Sarsfield
11/20/2024Vélez Sarsfield 0x0 Lanús

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 12

Frequently asked questions about Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield

What was the score of Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Lanús 2 x 0 Vélez Sarsfield, Monday, October 12, at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Vélez Sarsfield had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 13 to 7, and corners were 5 to 6.
How did Lanús and Vélez Sarsfield arrive for this match?
Lanús arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Vélez Sarsfield arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Lanús, 1 for Vélez Sarsfield and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.