Ceará 1 x 0 Criciúma: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 32

Ceará

Home

1 × 0

Criciúma

Away

Thursday, October 8 · 07:30 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ceará win33.8%

Draw36.8%

Criciúma win29.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals31.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ceará beat Criciúma 1 to 0 at home, Thursday, October 8, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 12 to 7, and corners were 5 to 6.

Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Criciúma 1 x 1 Ceará.

Match statistics

50%Possession50%

3On target1

12Shots7

5Corners6

16Fouls17

1Offsides0

1Saves2

1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CearáWDWDL

Ceará's last matches
10/03	Avaí 0x1 Ceará
09/26	Operário PR 2x2 Ceará
09/18	Ceará 2x1 Novorizontino
09/13	Fortaleza 1x1 Ceará
09/09	Atlético GO 2x1 Ceará

CriciúmaWWLLL

Criciúma's last matches
10/02	Londrina 0x2 Criciúma
09/27	Criciúma 3x0 Avaí
09/22	Criciúma 0x2 Operário PR
09/13	Atlético GO 4x0 Criciúma
09/08	Criciúma 0x2 Juventude

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ceará and Criciúma
06/15/2026	Criciúma 1x1 Ceará

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 32

Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Criciúma

What was the score of Ceará vs Criciúma?: Ceará 1 x 0 Criciúma, Thursday, October 8, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ceará vs Criciúma?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Criciúma?: Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 12 to 7, and corners were 5 to 6.
How did Ceará and Criciúma arrive for this match?: Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Criciúma 1 x 1 Ceará.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.