América Mineiro 0 x 1 Fortaleza: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 32

América Mineiro

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0 × 1

Fortaleza

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Wednesday, October 7 · 08:30 PMCentro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães

What the model calculated before the match

Result

América Mineiro win18.4%

Draw23.7%

Fortaleza win57.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat América Mineiro 1 to 0 away from home, Wednesday, October 7, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 5 to 8, and corners were 3 to 5.

América Mineiro arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Fortaleza 0 x 3 América Mineiro.

Match statistics

52%Possession48%

1On target3

5Shots8

3Corners5

22Fouls11

1Offsides0

1Saves1

4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

América MineiroLLLLW

América Mineiro's last matches
10/03	Atlético GO 2x0 América Mineiro
09/28	América Mineiro 0x1 Juventude
09/18	Vila Nova 1x0 América Mineiro
09/14	América Mineiro 0x2 São Bernardo
09/09	América Mineiro 2x1 Náutico

FortalezaDDWDW

Fortaleza's last matches
10/02	Fortaleza 1x1 Náutico
09/27	Fortaleza 2x2 Athletic Club
09/20	Londrina 1x2 Fortaleza
09/13	Fortaleza 1x1 Ceará
09/09	Fortaleza 1x0 Avaí

Head-to-head

Last matches between América Mineiro and Fortaleza
06/16/2026	Fortaleza 0x3 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 32

Frequently asked questions about América Mineiro vs Fortaleza

What was the score of América Mineiro vs Fortaleza?: América Mineiro 0 x 1 Fortaleza, Wednesday, October 7, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for América Mineiro vs Fortaleza?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for América Mineiro vs Fortaleza?: América Mineiro had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 5 to 8, and corners were 3 to 5.
How did América Mineiro and Fortaleza arrive for this match?: América Mineiro arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Fortaleza 0 x 3 América Mineiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.