Sport Recife 2 x 1 São Bernardo: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 32

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Home

2 × 1

São Bernardo

São Bernardo

Away

Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win42.2%
Draw33.6%
São Bernardo win24.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals48.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife beat São Bernardo 2 to 1 at home, Tuesday, October 6, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 12 to 14, and corners were 5 to 9.

Sport Recife arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 0 x 0 Sport Recife.

Sport Recife vs São Bernardo stats

Match statistics
48%Possession52%
5On target4
12Shots14
5Corners9
10Fouls17
1Offsides0
3Saves3
4Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeWLWLW

Sport Recife's last matches
10/01Athletic Club 1x2 Sport Recife
09/26Náutico 3x1 Sport Recife
09/19Sport Recife 2x1 Juventude
09/15CRB 2x1 Sport Recife
09/10Sport Recife 2x0 Ponte Preta

São BernardoWDWWL

São Bernardo's last matches
10/02São Bernardo 3x1 CRB
09/25Novorizontino 0x0 São Bernardo
09/18São Bernardo 1x0 Atlético GO
09/14América Mineiro 0x2 São Bernardo
09/10São Bernardo 1x2 Londrina

Head-to-head

Last matches between Sport Recife and São Bernardo
06/14/2026São Bernardo 0x0 Sport Recife

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 32

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs São Bernardo

What was the score of Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
Sport Recife 2 x 1 São Bernardo, Tuesday, October 6, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
The model pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
São Bernardo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 12 to 14, and corners were 5 to 9.
How did Sport Recife and São Bernardo arrive for this match?
Sport Recife arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 0 x 0 Sport Recife.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.