Vila Nova 2 x 0 Ceará: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 25

Vila Nova

Home

2 × 0

Ceará

Away

Sunday, August 30 · 06:30 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win50.5%

Draw35.9%

Ceará win13.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat Ceará 2 to 0 at home, Sunday, August 30, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

Ceará had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 13 to 7, and corners were 5 to 9.

Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 3 x 3 Vila Nova.

Match statistics

44%Possession56%

7On target3

13Shots7

5Corners9

23Fouls14

1Offsides2

3Saves5

2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaDWWLL

Vila Nova's last matches
08/23	Operário PR 0x0 Vila Nova
08/19	Vila Nova 6x0 Ponte Preta
08/15	Atlético GO 0x2 Vila Nova
08/08	Vila Nova 0x1 Sport Recife
07/27	CRB 2x0 Vila Nova

CearáWLLWW

Ceará's last matches
08/22	Ceará 2x1 Londrina
08/18	Náutico 1x0 Ceará
08/15	Ceará 1x3 Cuiabá
08/07	Ceará 2x0 Ponte Preta
07/26	São Bernardo 3x4 Ceará

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vila Nova and Ceará
04/26/2026	Ceará 3x3 Vila Nova

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs Ceará

What was the score of Vila Nova vs Ceará?: Vila Nova 2 x 0 Ceará, Sunday, August 30, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Ceará?: The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs Ceará?: Ceará had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 13 to 7, and corners were 5 to 9.
How did Vila Nova and Ceará arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 3 x 3 Vila Nova.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.