Novorizontino 2 x 1 Sport Recife: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 25

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Home

2 × 1

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Away

Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Novorizontino win40.4%
Draw38.7%
Sport Recife win20.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals49.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat Sport Recife 2 to 1 at home, Friday, August 28, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 19 to 7, and corners were 9 to 3.

Novorizontino arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 1 x 0 Novorizontino.

Novorizontino vs Sport Recife stats

Match statistics
41%Possession59%
9On target1
19Shots7
9Corners3
14Fouls8
2Offsides5
0Saves7
1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NovorizontinoWWDLW

Novorizontino's last matches
08/24Athletic Club 1x4 Novorizontino
08/20Novorizontino 3x0 América Mineiro
08/16CRB 0x0 Novorizontino
08/09Novorizontino 0x1 Juventude
07/26Londrina 1x4 Novorizontino

Sport RecifeWLWWD

Sport Recife's last matches
08/24Sport Recife 3x0 América Mineiro
08/19Avaí 2x1 Sport Recife
08/14Sport Recife 2x1 Londrina
08/08Vila Nova 0x1 Sport Recife
07/27Sport Recife 1x1 Cuiabá

Head-to-head

Last matches between Novorizontino and Sport Recife
04/25/2026Sport Recife 1x0 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Novorizontino vs Sport Recife

What was the score of Novorizontino vs Sport Recife?
Novorizontino 2 x 1 Sport Recife, Friday, August 28, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Sport Recife?
The model pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Novorizontino vs Sport Recife?
Sport Recife had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 19 to 7, and corners were 9 to 3.
How did Novorizontino and Sport Recife arrive for this match?
Novorizontino arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 1 x 0 Novorizontino.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.