Náutico 2 x 1 Athletic Club: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 25

Náutico

Náutico

Home

2 × 1

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away

Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win39.1%
Draw39.3%
Athletic Club win21.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals39.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Náutico beat Athletic Club 2 to 1 at home, Friday, August 28, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 18 to 3, and corners were 8 to 2.

Náutico arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 0 x 1 Náutico.

Náutico vs Athletic Club stats

Match statistics
69%Possession31%
9On target1
18Shots3
8Corners2
16Fouls13
3Offsides1
0Saves7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoDWDDD

Náutico's last matches
08/23São Bernardo 1x1 Náutico
08/18Náutico 1x0 Ceará
08/14Ponte Preta 1x1 Náutico
08/09Náutico 1x1 Atlético GO
07/26Criciúma 0x0 Náutico

Athletic ClubLLWWD

Athletic Club's last matches
08/24Athletic Club 1x4 Novorizontino
08/20Athletic Club 0x2 CRB
08/16América Mineiro 1x3 Athletic Club
08/09Athletic Club 2x0 Criciúma
07/28Ponte Preta 1x1 Athletic Club

Head-to-head

Last matches between Náutico and Athletic Club
04/27/2026Athletic Club 0x1 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs Athletic Club

What was the score of Náutico vs Athletic Club?
Náutico 2 x 1 Athletic Club, Friday, August 28, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs Athletic Club?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs Athletic Club?
Náutico had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 18 to 3, and corners were 8 to 2.
How did Náutico and Athletic Club arrive for this match?
Náutico arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 0 x 1 Náutico.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.