Sport Recife 1 x 1 Athletic Club: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 12

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Home

1 × 1

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away

Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win44.2%
Draw37.7%
Athletic Club win18.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife and Athletic Club drew 1 to 1, Wednesday, June 10, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (66% possession), shots were 18 to 8, and corners were 8 to 2.

Sport Recife arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 1 x 3 Athletic Club.

Sport Recife vs Athletic Club stats

Match statistics
66%Possession34%
4On target3
18Shots8
8Corners2
4Fouls13
1Offsides3
2Saves3
1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeWWLWW

Sport Recife's last matches
05/30Sport Recife 2x0 Náutico
05/23Juventude 0x1 Sport Recife
05/17Sport Recife 1x2 CRB
05/09Ponte Preta 1x3 Sport Recife
05/03Sport Recife 2x0 Ceará

Athletic ClubWWDLD

Athletic Club's last matches
05/30Athletic Club 1x0 Fortaleza
05/25Botafogo SP 1x2 Athletic Club
05/17Athletic Club 1x1 Juventude
05/12Internacional 3x2 Athletic Club
05/09Athletic Club 0x0 Cuiabá

Head-to-head

Last matches between Sport Recife and Athletic Club
03/17/2026Sport Recife 1x3 Athletic Club

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 12

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs Athletic Club

What was the score of Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Sport Recife 1 x 1 Athletic Club, Wednesday, June 10, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
The model pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Sport Recife had more of the ball (66% possession), shots were 18 to 8, and corners were 8 to 2.
How did Sport Recife and Athletic Club arrive for this match?
Sport Recife arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 1 x 3 Athletic Club.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.