Ceará 2 x 1 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 12

Ceará

Home

2 × 1

Avaí

Away

Wednesday, June 10 · 08:00 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ceará win57.8%

Draw22.5%

Avaí win19.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals47.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ceará beat Avaí 2 to 1 at home, Wednesday, June 10, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Avaí had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 17 to 11, and corners were 8 to 0.

Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Match statistics

42%Possession58%

4On target2

17Shots11

8Corners0

14Fouls11

2Offsides0

1Saves2

3Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Ceará win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CearáLLWWL

Ceará's last matches
05/31	Ceará 1x2 Operário PR
05/23	Novorizontino 2x1 Ceará
05/17	Ceará 2x1 Fortaleza
05/13	Ceará 2x1 Atlético Mineiro
05/09	Ceará 0x1 Atlético GO

AvaíLLLDD

Avaí's last matches
05/30	Avaí 1x2 Criciúma
05/24	Avaí 0x2 Goiás
05/17	Vila Nova 2x0 Avaí
05/10	Avaí 0x0 Fortaleza
05/03	Avaí 3x3 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 12

Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Avaí

What was the score of Ceará vs Avaí?: Ceará 2 x 1 Avaí, Wednesday, June 10, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ceará vs Avaí?: The model pointed to a Ceará win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Avaí?: Avaí had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 17 to 11, and corners were 8 to 0.
How did Ceará and Avaí arrive for this match?: Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.