What was the score of Náutico vs Fortaleza?

Náutico 0 x 1 Fortaleza, Tuesday, June 9, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.

Náutico 0 x 1 Fortaleza: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 12

Náutico

Home

0 × 1

Fortaleza

Away

Tuesday, June 9 · 07:00 PMEstádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win36.4%

Draw24.1%

Fortaleza win39.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals56.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat Náutico 1 to 0 away from home, Tuesday, June 9, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (73% possession), shots were 30 to 4, and corners were 11 to 4.

Náutico arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Fortaleza arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

Match statistics

73%Possession27%

9On target1

30Shots4

11Corners4

7Fouls16

3Offsides6

1Saves9

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoLWWWD

Náutico's last matches
05/30	Sport Recife 2x0 Náutico
05/22	Náutico 1x0 Cuiabá
05/16	Operário PR 2x6 Náutico
05/10	Náutico 4x0 América Mineiro
05/02	Botafogo SP 1x1 Náutico

FortalezaLWLDD

Fortaleza's last matches
05/30	Athletic Club 1x0 Fortaleza
05/23	Fortaleza 3x0 Londrina
05/17	Ceará 2x1 Fortaleza
05/14	CRB 0x0 Fortaleza
05/10	Avaí 0x0 Fortaleza

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 12

Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs Fortaleza

What was the score of Náutico vs Fortaleza?: Náutico 0 x 1 Fortaleza, Tuesday, June 9, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs Fortaleza?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs Fortaleza?: Náutico had more of the ball (73% possession), shots were 30 to 4, and corners were 11 to 4.
How did Náutico and Fortaleza arrive for this match?: Náutico arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Fortaleza arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.