Ponte Preta 1 x 3 Sport Recife: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 8

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Home

1 × 3

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Away

Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ponte Preta win16.3%
Draw25.8%
Sport Recife win58.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals13.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife beat Ponte Preta 3 to 1 away from home, Saturday, May 9, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 10 to 8, and corners were 11 to 2.

Ponte Preta arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 3 x 1 Ponte Preta.

Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife stats

Match statistics
48%Possession52%
5On target4
10Shots8
11Corners2
17Fouls11
1Offsides2
1Saves3
5Yellow cards4
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Ponte PretaLWWLL

Ponte Preta's last matches
05/03São Bernardo 3x0 Ponte Preta
04/24Ponte Preta 1x0 América Mineiro
04/18Avaí 1x2 Ponte Preta
04/11Ponte Preta 0x1 Vila Nova
04/04Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta

Sport RecifeWWDDW

Sport Recife's last matches
05/03Sport Recife 2x0 Ceará
04/25Sport Recife 1x0 Novorizontino
04/18América Mineiro 0x0 Sport Recife
04/11Sport Recife 2x2 Avaí
04/04Londrina 1x2 Sport Recife

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ponte Preta and Sport Recife
07/27/2024Sport Recife 3x1 Ponte Preta

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 8

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife

What was the score of Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife?
Ponte Preta 1 x 3 Sport Recife, Saturday, May 9, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife?
The model pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife?
Sport Recife had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 10 to 8, and corners were 11 to 2.
How did Ponte Preta and Sport Recife arrive for this match?
Ponte Preta arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 3 x 1 Ponte Preta.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.