Novorizontino 1 x 0 Botafogo SP: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 8

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Home

1 × 0

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Away

Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Novorizontino win43.9%
Draw22.2%
Botafogo SP win33.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals63.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat Botafogo SP 1 to 0 at home, Sunday, May 10, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi and in the Série B 2026.

Botafogo SP had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 6 to 4, and corners were 5 to 1.

Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP stats

Match statistics
46%Possession54%
3On target1
6Shots4
5Corners1
17Fouls15
3Offsides2
1Saves2
4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NovorizontinoDLWWD

Novorizontino's last matches
05/03Avaí 3x3 Novorizontino
04/25Sport Recife 1x0 Novorizontino
04/19Novorizontino 2x1 Athletic Club
04/12América Mineiro 0x3 Novorizontino
04/05Novorizontino 1x1 CRB

Botafogo SPDDDLL

Botafogo SP's last matches
05/02Botafogo SP 1x1 Náutico
04/22Cuiabá 1x1 Botafogo SP
04/19Botafogo SP 1x1 Atlético GO
04/10Criciúma 1x0 Botafogo SP
04/05Botafogo SP 1x2 São Bernardo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 8

Frequently asked questions about Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP

What was the score of Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
Novorizontino 1 x 0 Botafogo SP, Sunday, May 10, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
The model pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
Botafogo SP had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 6 to 4, and corners were 5 to 1.
How did Novorizontino and Botafogo SP arrive for this match?
Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.