Náutico 4 x 0 América Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 8

Náutico

Náutico

Home

4 × 0

América Mineiro

América Mineiro

Away

Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win75.2%
Draw14.2%
América Mineiro win10.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals27.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Náutico beat América Mineiro 4 to 0 at home, Sunday, May 10, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 16 to 4, and corners were 3 to 3.

Náutico arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Náutico vs América Mineiro stats

Match statistics
58%Possession42%
6On target0
16Shots4
3Corners3
19Fouls16
2Offsides2
0Saves3
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoDWLLW

Náutico's last matches
05/02Botafogo SP 1x1 Náutico
04/27Athletic Club 0x1 Náutico
04/18Náutico 0x3 São Bernardo
04/11Ceará 1x0 Náutico
04/04Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta

América MineiroLLDLD

América Mineiro's last matches
05/03América Mineiro 1x2 CRB
04/24Ponte Preta 1x0 América Mineiro
04/18América Mineiro 0x0 Sport Recife
04/12América Mineiro 0x3 Novorizontino
04/05Athletic Club 1x1 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 8

Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs América Mineiro

What was the score of Náutico vs América Mineiro?
Náutico 4 x 0 América Mineiro, Sunday, May 10, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs América Mineiro?
The model pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs América Mineiro?
Náutico had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 16 to 4, and corners were 3 to 3.
How did Náutico and América Mineiro arrive for this match?
Náutico arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.