Ponte Preta 0 x 2 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 24

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Home

0 × 2

Avaí

Avaí

Away

Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ponte Preta win21.5%
Draw37.5%
Avaí win41.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals51.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Avaí beat Ponte Preta 2 to 0 away from home, Sunday, August 23, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli and in the Série B 2026.

Ponte Preta had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 9 to 13, and corners were 6 to 4.

Ponte Preta arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Ponte Preta, 0 for Avaí and 0 draws.

Ponte Preta vs Avaí stats

Match statistics
62%Possession38%
2On target4
9Shots13
6Corners4
18Fouls22
0Offsides1
2Saves2
1Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Avaí win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Ponte PretaLDLDL

Ponte Preta's last matches
08/19Vila Nova 6x0 Ponte Preta
08/14Ponte Preta 1x1 Náutico
08/07Ceará 2x0 Ponte Preta
07/28Ponte Preta 1x1 Athletic Club
07/22Operário PR 3x2 Ponte Preta

AvaíWWLLW

Avaí's last matches
08/19Avaí 2x1 Sport Recife
08/16Operário PR 1x2 Avaí
08/11Avaí 0x1 CRB
07/28Juventude 1x0 Avaí
07/21Avaí 2x1 América Mineiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ponte Preta and Avaí
04/18/2026Avaí 1x2 Ponte Preta
08/04/2024Ponte Preta 1x0 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 24

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs Avaí

What was the score of Ponte Preta vs Avaí?
Ponte Preta 0 x 2 Avaí, Sunday, August 23, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Avaí?
The model pointed to a Avaí win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ponte Preta vs Avaí?
Ponte Preta had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 9 to 13, and corners were 6 to 4.
How did Ponte Preta and Avaí arrive for this match?
Ponte Preta arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Ponte Preta, 0 for Avaí and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.