Novorizontino 2 x 1 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 15

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Home

2 × 1

Vila Nova

Vila Nova

Away

Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Novorizontino win53.2%
Draw22.2%
Vila Nova win24.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals40.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat Vila Nova 2 to 1 at home, Friday, June 26, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi and in the Série B 2026.

Novorizontino had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 12 to 4, and corners were 6 to 4.

Novorizontino arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Vila Nova 0 x 1 Novorizontino.

Novorizontino vs Vila Nova stats

Match statistics
51%Possession49%
5On target3
12Shots4
6Corners4
16Fouls15
3Offsides4
2Saves3
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NovorizontinoWDWDW

Novorizontino's last matches
06/22Ponte Preta 0x2 Novorizontino
06/14Novorizontino 2x2 Náutico
06/10Goiás 0x4 Novorizontino
05/31São Bernardo 1x1 Novorizontino
05/23Novorizontino 2x1 Ceará

Vila NovaWLWWW

Vila Nova's last matches
06/20Vila Nova 4x3 Náutico
06/14Cuiabá 1x0 Vila Nova
06/08Vila Nova 1x0 Botafogo SP
05/31Londrina 0x1 Vila Nova
05/24América Mineiro 1x2 Vila Nova

Head-to-head

Last matches between Novorizontino and Vila Nova
05/30/2025Vila Nova 0x1 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 15

Frequently asked questions about Novorizontino vs Vila Nova

What was the score of Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Novorizontino 2 x 1 Vila Nova, Friday, June 26, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
The model pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Novorizontino had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 12 to 4, and corners were 6 to 4.
How did Novorizontino and Vila Nova arrive for this match?
Novorizontino arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Vila Nova 0 x 1 Novorizontino.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.