Athletic Club 1 x 0 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 15

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Home

1 × 0

Avaí

Avaí

Away

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Athletic Club win62.0%
Draw19.7%
Avaí win18.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletic Club beat Avaí 1 to 0 at home, Sunday, June 28, in the Série B 2026.

Athletic Club had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 22 to 3, and corners were 8 to 3.

Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Athletic Club, 1 for Avaí and 0 draws.

Athletic Club vs Avaí stats

Match statistics
57%Possession43%
8On target1
22Shots3
8Corners3
12Fouls12
1Saves7
1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Athletic ClubLDDWW

Athletic Club's last matches
06/20Londrina 2x0 Athletic Club
06/14Athletic Club 1x1 Goiás
06/10Sport Recife 1x1 Athletic Club
05/30Athletic Club 1x0 Fortaleza
05/25Botafogo SP 1x2 Athletic Club

AvaíWLLLL

Avaí's last matches
06/21Avaí 1x0 Cuiabá
06/15Londrina 3x2 Avaí
06/10Ceará 2x1 Avaí
05/30Avaí 1x2 Criciúma
05/24Avaí 0x2 Goiás

Head-to-head

Last matches between Athletic Club and Avaí
11/01/2025Avaí 2x1 Athletic Club
07/14/2025Athletic Club 4x0 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 15

Frequently asked questions about Athletic Club vs Avaí

What was the score of Athletic Club vs Avaí?
Athletic Club 1 x 0 Avaí, Sunday, June 28, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Avaí?
The model pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Athletic Club vs Avaí?
Athletic Club had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 22 to 3, and corners were 8 to 3.
How did Athletic Club and Avaí arrive for this match?
Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Athletic Club, 1 for Avaí and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.