Náutico 1 x 0 Ceará: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 23

Náutico

Home

1 × 0

Ceará

Away

Tuesday, August 18 · 09:30 PMEstádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win40.4%

Draw39.9%

Ceará win19.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals43.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Náutico beat Ceará 1 to 0 at home, Tuesday, August 18, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 23 to 9, and corners were 9 to 3.

Náutico arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 1 x 0 Náutico.

Match statistics

51%Possession49%

14On target4

23Shots9

9Corners3

22Fouls13

1Offsides2

3Saves12

6Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoDDDWL

Náutico's last matches
08/14	Ponte Preta 1x1 Náutico
08/09	Náutico 1x1 Atlético GO
07/26	Criciúma 0x0 Náutico
07/22	Náutico 2x1 Londrina
07/16	CRB 2x1 Náutico

CearáLWWLD

Ceará's last matches
08/15	Ceará 1x3 Cuiabá
08/07	Ceará 2x0 Ponte Preta
07/26	São Bernardo 3x4 Ceará
07/22	Ceará 0x1 CRB
07/17	América Mineiro 1x1 Ceará

Head-to-head

Last matches between Náutico and Ceará
04/11/2026	Ceará 1x0 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs Ceará

What was the score of Náutico vs Ceará?: Náutico 1 x 0 Ceará, Tuesday, August 18, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs Ceará?: The model pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs Ceará?: Náutico had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 23 to 9, and corners were 9 to 3.
How did Náutico and Ceará arrive for this match?: Náutico arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 1 x 0 Náutico.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.