Fortaleza 1 x 1 São Bernardo: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 23

Fortaleza

Home

1 × 1

São Bernardo

Away

Wednesday, August 19 · 07:30 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win48.3%

Draw33.8%

São Bernardo win17.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals43.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza and São Bernardo drew 1 to 1, Wednesday, August 19, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Fortaleza had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 17 to 10, and corners were 8 to 6.

Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 0 x 1 Fortaleza.

Match statistics

51%Possession49%

5On target5

17Shots10

8Corners6

9Fouls8

2Offsides2

5Saves4

1Yellow cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaDDWLW

Fortaleza's last matches
08/15	Juventude 0x0 Fortaleza
08/09	Cuiabá 1x1 Fortaleza
08/05	Fortaleza 3x2 Palmeiras
08/02	Palmeiras 3x0 Fortaleza
07/28	Fortaleza 1x0 Botafogo SP

São BernardoLWLLD

São Bernardo's last matches
08/14	São Bernardo 0x1 Botafogo SP
08/07	Operário PR 1x3 São Bernardo
07/26	São Bernardo 3x4 Ceará
07/23	Athletic Club 2x1 São Bernardo
07/17	São Bernardo 1x1 Avaí

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fortaleza and São Bernardo
04/12/2026	São Bernardo 0x1 Fortaleza

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs São Bernardo

What was the score of Fortaleza vs São Bernardo?: Fortaleza 1 x 1 São Bernardo, Wednesday, August 19, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs São Bernardo?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs São Bernardo?: Fortaleza had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 17 to 10, and corners were 8 to 6.
How did Fortaleza and São Bernardo arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 0 x 1 Fortaleza.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.