Avaí 2 x 1 Sport Recife: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 23

Avaí

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2 × 1

Sport Recife

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Wednesday, August 19 · 07:30 PMEstádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Avaí win23.9%

Draw43.7%

Sport Recife win32.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals45.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Avaí beat Sport Recife 2 to 1 at home, Wednesday, August 19, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 13 to 10, and corners were 6 to 3.

Avaí arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Avaí, 0 for Sport Recife and 1 draw.

Match statistics

38%Possession62%

3On target4

13Shots10

6Corners3

18Fouls15

3Saves1

1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

AvaíWLLWD

Avaí's last matches
08/16	Operário PR 1x2 Avaí
08/11	Avaí 0x1 CRB
07/28	Juventude 1x0 Avaí
07/21	Avaí 2x1 América Mineiro
07/17	São Bernardo 1x1 Avaí

Sport RecifeWWDDD

Sport Recife's last matches
08/14	Sport Recife 2x1 Londrina
08/08	Vila Nova 0x1 Sport Recife
07/27	Sport Recife 1x1 Cuiabá
07/22	Goiás 1x1 Sport Recife
07/18	Sport Recife 2x2 Operário PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Avaí and Sport Recife
04/11/2026	Sport Recife 2x2 Avaí
05/18/2024	Sport Recife 1x2 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Avaí vs Sport Recife

What was the score of Avaí vs Sport Recife?: Avaí 2 x 1 Sport Recife, Wednesday, August 19, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Avaí vs Sport Recife?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Avaí vs Sport Recife?: Sport Recife had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 13 to 10, and corners were 6 to 3.
How did Avaí and Sport Recife arrive for this match?: Avaí arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Sport Recife arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Avaí, 0 for Sport Recife and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.