Instituto 2 x 2 Boca Juniors: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 12

Instituto

Instituto

Home

2 × 2

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

Away

Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Instituto win36.3%
Draw33.2%
Boca Juniors win30.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals45.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Instituto and Boca Juniors drew 2 to 2, Friday, October 9, at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Boca Juniors had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 4 to 2.

Instituto arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Boca Juniors arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Instituto, 1 for Boca Juniors and 1 draw.

Instituto vs Boca Juniors stats

Match statistics
31%Possession69%
4On target3
10Shots10
4Corners2
15Fouls7
0Offsides1
1Saves2
4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Instituto win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

InstitutoWWWLW

Instituto's last matches
10/02Independiente 1x4 Instituto
09/19Instituto 3x1 Talleres Córdoba
09/14Instituto 2x1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
09/07Unión Santa Fe 3x2 Instituto
08/31Instituto 1x0 San Lorenzo

Boca JuniorsWWWDW

Boca Juniors's last matches
10/02Boca Juniors 3x0 Unión Santa Fe
09/20San Lorenzo 0x2 Boca Juniors
09/11Boca Juniors 3x1 Central Cordoba SdE
09/05Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2x2 Boca Juniors
08/28Boca Juniors 1x0 Lanús

Head-to-head

Last matches between Instituto and Boca Juniors
03/22/2026Boca Juniors 2x0 Instituto
07/28/2024Instituto 0x0 Boca Juniors

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 12

Frequently asked questions about Instituto vs Boca Juniors

What was the score of Instituto vs Boca Juniors?
Instituto 2 x 2 Boca Juniors, Friday, October 9, at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Instituto vs Boca Juniors?
The model pointed to a Instituto win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Instituto vs Boca Juniors?
Boca Juniors had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 4 to 2.
How did Instituto and Boca Juniors arrive for this match?
Instituto arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Boca Juniors arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Instituto, 1 for Boca Juniors and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.