Grêmio 1 x 0 Mirassol: stats and analysis

Copa do Brasil 2026

Grêmio

Grêmio

Home

1 × 0

Mirassol

Mirassol

Away

Arena do Grêmio

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Grêmio win31.1%
Draw44.5%
Mirassol win24.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals94.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Grêmio beat Mirassol 1 to 0 at home, Wednesday, August 5, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Mirassol had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 7 to 7, and corners were 1 to 6.

Grêmio arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 2 for Mirassol and 1 draw.

Grêmio vs Mirassol stats

Match statistics
42%Possession58%
3On target0
7Shots7
1Corners6
13Fouls14
1Offsides0
1Saves1
4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

GrêmioDDLLW

Grêmio's last matches
08/02Mirassol 1x1 Grêmio
07/26Grêmio 1x1 Fluminense
07/17Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
05/30Grêmio 1x3 Corinthians
05/23Grêmio 3x2 Santos

MirassolDWDWL

Mirassol's last matches
08/02Mirassol 1x1 Grêmio
07/29Mirassol 2x1 Remo
07/25Vasco da Gama 1x1 Mirassol
07/17Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
05/30Athletico PR 1x0 Mirassol

Head-to-head

Last matches between Grêmio and Mirassol
08/02/2026Mirassol 1x1 Grêmio
07/17/2026Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
09/13/2025Grêmio 0x1 Mirassol

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches today

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Mirassol

What was the score of Grêmio vs Mirassol?
Grêmio 1 x 0 Mirassol, Wednesday, August 5, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.
What did the model predict for Grêmio vs Mirassol?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs Mirassol?
Mirassol had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 7 to 7, and corners were 1 to 6.
How did Grêmio and Mirassol arrive for this match?
Grêmio arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 2 for Mirassol and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.