Fluminense 1 x 3 Vasco da Gama: stats and analysis

Copa do Brasil 2026

Fluminense

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1 × 3

Vasco da Gama

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Wednesday, August 5 · 09:30 PMEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fluminense win34.6%

Draw46.8%

Vasco da Gama win18.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals87.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama beat Fluminense 3 to 1 away from home, Wednesday, August 5, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Fluminense had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 9 to 12, and corners were 1 to 5.

Fluminense arrived with 5 draws in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Fluminense, 2 for Vasco da Gama and 1 draw.

Match statistics

61%Possession39%

4On target6

9Shots12

1Corners5

11Fouls25

1Offsides3

3Saves3

3Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FluminenseDDDDD

Fluminense's last matches
08/01	Vasco da Gama 0x0 Fluminense
07/29	Fluminense 0x0 Bahia
07/26	Grêmio 1x1 Fluminense
07/17	Fluminense 1x1 Bragantino
05/31	Cruzeiro 1x1 Fluminense

Vasco da GamaDDDLL

Vasco da Gama's last matches
08/01	Vasco da Gama 0x0 Fluminense
07/28	Chapecoense 0x0 Vasco da Gama
07/25	Vasco da Gama 1x1 Mirassol
07/16	Vitória 1x0 Vasco da Gama
05/31	Vasco da Gama 0x1 Atlético Mineiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama
08/01/2026	Vasco da Gama 0x0 Fluminense
03/18/2026	Vasco da Gama 3x2 Fluminense
12/14/2025	Fluminense 1x0 Vasco da Gama
12/11/2025	Vasco da Gama 2x1 Fluminense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score of Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?: Fluminense 1 x 3 Vasco da Gama, Wednesday, August 5, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?: Fluminense had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 9 to 12, and corners were 1 to 5.
How did Fluminense and Vasco da Gama arrive for this match?: Fluminense arrived with 5 draws in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Fluminense, 2 for Vasco da Gama and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.