What was the score of Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?

Fortaleza 3 x 2 Palmeiras, Wednesday, August 5, at Arena Pantanal, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Fortaleza 3 x 2 Palmeiras: stats and analysis

Copa do Brasil 2026

Fortaleza

Home

3 × 2

Palmeiras

Away

Wednesday, August 5 · 09:30 PMArena Pantanal

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win16.1%

Draw29.5%

Palmeiras win54.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals97.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat Palmeiras 3 to 2 at home, Wednesday, August 5, at Arena Pantanal and in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 9 to 10, and corners were 6 to 4.

Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Fortaleza, 2 for Palmeiras and 0 draws.

Match statistics

43%Possession57%

4On target4

9Shots10

6Corners4

12Fouls8

1Offsides0

2Saves1

1Yellow cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaLWLWL

Fortaleza's last matches
08/02	Palmeiras 3x0 Fortaleza
07/28	Fortaleza 1x0 Botafogo SP
07/21	Vila Nova 2x1 Fortaleza
07/17	Fortaleza 1x0 Novorizontino
07/12	Atlético GO 1x0 Fortaleza

PalmeirasWWLWW

Palmeiras's last matches
08/02	Palmeiras 3x0 Fortaleza
07/29	Vitória 0x4 Palmeiras
07/26	Palmeiras 1x2 Atlético Mineiro
07/22	Coritiba 1x3 Palmeiras
05/31	Palmeiras 1x0 Chapecoense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fortaleza and Palmeiras
08/02/2026	Palmeiras 3x0 Fortaleza
04/20/2025	Fortaleza 1x2 Palmeiras

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Palmeiras

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?: Fortaleza 3 x 2 Palmeiras, Wednesday, August 5, at Arena Pantanal, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?: The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?: Palmeiras had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 9 to 10, and corners were 6 to 4.
How did Fortaleza and Palmeiras arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Fortaleza, 2 for Palmeiras and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.