Fortaleza 1 x 1 Ceará: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 28

Fortaleza

Home

1 × 1

Ceará

Away

Sunday, September 13 · 06:30 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win63.4%

Draw23.4%

Ceará win13.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza and Ceará drew 1 to 1, Sunday, September 13, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Ceará had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 8 to 10, and corners were 3 to 4.

Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 2 x 1 Fortaleza.

Match statistics

48%Possession52%

3On target5

8Shots10

3Corners4

17Fouls10

3Offsides1

4Saves2

2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaWWDWD

Fortaleza's last matches
09/09	Fortaleza 1x0 Avaí
09/05	Goiás 0x1 Fortaleza
08/31	Fortaleza 1x1 Operário PR
08/23	Criciúma 0x2 Fortaleza
08/19	Fortaleza 1x1 São Bernardo

CearáLWLWL

Ceará's last matches
09/09	Atlético GO 2x1 Ceará
09/05	Ceará 2x1 Sport Recife
08/30	Vila Nova 2x0 Ceará
08/22	Ceará 2x1 Londrina
08/18	Náutico 1x0 Ceará

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fortaleza and Ceará
05/17/2026	Ceará 2x1 Fortaleza

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Ceará

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Ceará?: Fortaleza 1 x 1 Ceará, Sunday, September 13, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Ceará?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Ceará?: Ceará had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 8 to 10, and corners were 3 to 4.
How did Fortaleza and Ceará arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Ceará 2 x 1 Fortaleza.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.