América Mineiro 0 x 2 São Bernardo: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 28

América Mineiro

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0 × 2

São Bernardo

Away

Monday, September 14 · 07:30 PMCentro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães

What the model calculated before the match

Result

América Mineiro win29.8%

Draw30.8%

São Bernardo win39.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals44.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo beat América Mineiro 2 to 0 away from home, Monday, September 14, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 10 to 13, and corners were 5 to 4.

América Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 1 x 1 América Mineiro.

Match statistics

60%Possession40%

4On target7

10Shots13

5Corners4

15Fouls17

0Offsides1

5Saves4

2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

América MineiroWLWLL

América Mineiro's last matches
09/09	América Mineiro 2x1 Náutico
09/04	CRB 3x1 América Mineiro
08/30	América Mineiro 2x0 Ponte Preta
08/24	Sport Recife 3x0 América Mineiro
08/20	Novorizontino 3x0 América Mineiro

São BernardoLWLDD

São Bernardo's last matches
09/10	São Bernardo 1x2 Londrina
09/06	Ponte Preta 0x2 São Bernardo
08/28	Goiás 2x1 São Bernardo
08/23	São Bernardo 1x1 Náutico
08/19	Fortaleza 1x1 São Bernardo

Head-to-head

Last matches between América Mineiro and São Bernardo
05/16/2026	São Bernardo 1x1 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about América Mineiro vs São Bernardo

What was the score of América Mineiro vs São Bernardo?: América Mineiro 0 x 2 São Bernardo, Monday, September 14, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for América Mineiro vs São Bernardo?: The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for América Mineiro vs São Bernardo?: América Mineiro had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 10 to 13, and corners were 5 to 4.
How did América Mineiro and São Bernardo arrive for this match?: América Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 1 x 1 América Mineiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.