Avaí 2 x 1 América Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 19

Avaí

Avaí

Home

2 × 1

América Mineiro

América Mineiro

Away

Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Avaí win66.3%
Draw15.6%
América Mineiro win18.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals45.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Avaí beat América Mineiro 2 to 1 at home, Tuesday, July 21, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 7 to 7, and corners were 3 to 3.

Avaí arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Avaí, 1 for América Mineiro and 0 draws.

Avaí vs América Mineiro stats

Match statistics
49%Possession51%
4On target6
7Shots7
3Corners3
12Fouls19
3Offsides3
5Saves2
0Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Avaí win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

AvaíDWLLW

Avaí's last matches
07/17São Bernardo 1x1 Avaí
07/12Avaí 2x0 Náutico
07/06Botafogo SP 3x1 Avaí
06/28Athletic Club 1x0 Avaí
06/21Avaí 1x0 Cuiabá

América MineiroDDLLL

América Mineiro's last matches
07/17América Mineiro 1x1 Ceará
07/13América Mineiro 1x1 Londrina
07/02Cuiabá 1x0 América Mineiro
06/27Operário PR 1x0 América Mineiro
06/23América Mineiro 0x1 Criciúma

Head-to-head

Last matches between Avaí and América Mineiro
09/02/2025América Mineiro 2x0 Avaí
04/26/2025Avaí 3x0 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 19

Frequently asked questions about Avaí vs América Mineiro

What was the score of Avaí vs América Mineiro?
Avaí 2 x 1 América Mineiro, Tuesday, July 21, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Avaí vs América Mineiro?
The model pointed to a Avaí win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Avaí vs América Mineiro?
América Mineiro had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 7 to 7, and corners were 3 to 3.
How did Avaí and América Mineiro arrive for this match?
Avaí arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Avaí, 1 for América Mineiro and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.