Aldosivi 1 x 3 Sarmiento: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 12

Aldosivi

Aldosivi

Home

1 × 3

Sarmiento

Sarmiento

Away

Estadio José María Minella

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Aldosivi win27.2%
Draw36.3%
Sarmiento win36.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals45.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sarmiento beat Aldosivi 3 to 1 away from home, Friday, October 9, at Estadio José María Minella and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Sarmiento had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 9 to 13, and corners were 6 to 1.

Aldosivi arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Sarmiento arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Aldosivi, 2 for Sarmiento and 1 draw.

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento stats

Match statistics
49%Possession51%
3On target3
9Shots13
6Corners1
17Fouls15
1Offsides0
0Saves3
5Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sarmiento win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

AldosiviLWLWL

Aldosivi's last matches
10/04Huracán 1x0 Aldosivi
09/21Aldosivi 1x0 Atlético Tucumán
09/12Independiente Rivadavia 4x3 Aldosivi
09/05Aldosivi 3x1 Banfield
08/30Argentinos Juniors 2x1 Aldosivi

SarmientoLDWLW

Sarmiento's last matches
09/18Racing Club 3x1 Sarmiento
09/13Sarmiento 1x1 Belgrano
09/04Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0x2 Sarmiento
08/28Unión Santa Fe 4x1 Sarmiento
08/23Sarmiento 2x0 Estudiantes

Head-to-head

Last matches between Aldosivi and Sarmiento
03/22/2026Sarmiento 2x0 Aldosivi
09/13/2025Sarmiento 2x0 Aldosivi
03/01/2025Aldosivi 2x2 Sarmiento

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 12

Frequently asked questions about Aldosivi vs Sarmiento

What was the score of Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?
Aldosivi 1 x 3 Sarmiento, Friday, October 9, at Estadio José María Minella, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?
The model pointed to a Sarmiento win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?
Sarmiento had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 9 to 13, and corners were 6 to 1.
How did Aldosivi and Sarmiento arrive for this match?
Aldosivi arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Sarmiento arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Aldosivi, 2 for Sarmiento and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.