Vitória 0 x 4 Palmeiras: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 21

Vitória

Vitória

Home

0 × 4

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Away

Estádio Manoel Barradas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vitória win16.2%
Draw21.9%
Palmeiras win61.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals34.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Palmeiras beat Vitória 4 to 0 away from home, Wednesday, July 29, at Estádio Manoel Barradas and in the Série A 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 7 to 13, and corners were 6 to 1.

Vitória arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Palmeiras 5 x 1 Vitória.

Vitória vs Palmeiras stats

Match statistics
32%Possession68%
3On target5
7Shots13
6Corners1
10Fouls15
0Offsides2
2Saves3
3Yellow cards2
2Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

VitóriaLDWLW

Vitória's last matches
07/26Remo 2x0 Vitória
07/23Botafogo 0x0 Vitória
07/16Vitória 1x0 Vasco da Gama
05/30Santos 3x1 Vitória
05/23Vitória 2x0 Internacional

PalmeirasLWWWW

Palmeiras's last matches
07/26Palmeiras 1x2 Atlético Mineiro
07/22Coritiba 1x3 Palmeiras
05/31Palmeiras 1x0 Chapecoense
05/28Palmeiras 4x1 Junior FC
05/23Flamengo 0x3 Palmeiras

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vitória and Palmeiras
02/04/2026Palmeiras 5x1 Vitória

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 21

Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Palmeiras

What was the score of Vitória vs Palmeiras?
Vitória 0 x 4 Palmeiras, Wednesday, July 29, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vitória vs Palmeiras?
The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vitória vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 7 to 13, and corners were 6 to 1.
How did Vitória and Palmeiras arrive for this match?
Vitória arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Palmeiras 5 x 1 Vitória.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.