Coritiba 0 x 1 Cruzeiro: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 21

Coritiba

Coritiba

Home

0 × 1

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

Away

Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Coritiba win50.4%
Draw28.6%
Cruzeiro win21.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cruzeiro beat Coritiba 1 to 0 away from home, Thursday, July 30, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira and in the Série A 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 11 to 12, and corners were 4 to 2.

Coritiba arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Cruzeiro 1 x 2 Coritiba.

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro stats

Match statistics
50%Possession50%
2On target4
11Shots12
4Corners2
13Fouls18
1Offsides0
3Saves2
1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Coritiba win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CoritibaDLLWW

Coritiba's last matches
07/26Bragantino 0x0 Coritiba
07/22Coritiba 1x3 Palmeiras
05/30Flamengo 3x0 Coritiba
05/25Coritiba 3x2 Bahia
05/17Santos 0x3 Coritiba

CruzeiroLWDWW

Cruzeiro's last matches
07/26Cruzeiro 0x1 Botafogo
07/22Internacional 1x2 Cruzeiro
05/31Cruzeiro 1x1 Fluminense
05/28Cruzeiro 4x0 Barcelona Guayaquil
05/24Cruzeiro 2x1 Chapecoense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Coritiba and Cruzeiro
02/05/2026Cruzeiro 1x2 Coritiba

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 21

Frequently asked questions about Coritiba vs Cruzeiro

What was the score of Coritiba vs Cruzeiro?
Coritiba 0 x 1 Cruzeiro, Thursday, July 30, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Cruzeiro?
The model pointed to a Coritiba win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Coritiba vs Cruzeiro?
Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 11 to 12, and corners were 4 to 2.
How did Coritiba and Cruzeiro arrive for this match?
Coritiba arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Cruzeiro 1 x 2 Coritiba.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.