Vila Nova 2 x 2 Novorizontino: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 34

Vila Nova

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2 × 2

Novorizontino

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Sunday, October 18 · 06:00 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win32.8%

Draw40.6%

Novorizontino win26.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova and Novorizontino drew 2 to 2, Sunday, October 18, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 7 to 9, and corners were 6 to 4.

Vila Nova arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Vila Nova, 2 for Novorizontino and 0 draws.

Match statistics

57%Possession43%

5On target4

7Shots9

6Corners4

13Fouls18

1Offsides2

2Saves3

2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaWDWWW

Vila Nova's last matches
10/11	Náutico 0x2 Vila Nova
10/07	Vila Nova 0x0 Cuiabá
10/03	Botafogo SP 0x1 Vila Nova
09/25	Vila Nova 2x0 Londrina
09/18	Vila Nova 1x0 América Mineiro

NovorizontinoWWWDL

Novorizontino's last matches
10/12	Novorizontino 5x1 Ponte Preta
10/08	Náutico 0x2 Novorizontino
10/01	Novorizontino 3x0 Goiás
09/25	Novorizontino 0x0 São Bernardo
09/18	Ceará 2x1 Novorizontino

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vila Nova and Novorizontino
06/26/2026	Novorizontino 2x1 Vila Nova
05/30/2025	Vila Nova 0x1 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 34

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs Novorizontino

What was the score of Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?: Vila Nova 2 x 2 Novorizontino, Sunday, October 18, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?: Vila Nova had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 7 to 9, and corners were 6 to 4.
How did Vila Nova and Novorizontino arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Vila Nova, 2 for Novorizontino and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.