São Bernardo 0 x 1 Criciúma: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 34

São Bernardo

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0 × 1

Criciúma

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Sunday, October 18 · 04:00 PMEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win36.4%

Draw39.2%

Criciúma win24.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals29.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Criciúma beat São Bernardo 1 to 0 away from home, Sunday, October 18, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 2 to 9, and corners were 9 to 2.

São Bernardo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Criciúma 1 x 0 São Bernardo.

Match statistics

54%Possession46%

0On target2

2Shots9

9Corners2

15Fouls17

1Offsides1

1Saves0

1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoDLWDW

São Bernardo's last matches
10/11	Juventude 2x2 São Bernardo
10/06	Sport Recife 2x1 São Bernardo
10/02	São Bernardo 3x1 CRB
09/25	Novorizontino 0x0 São Bernardo
09/18	São Bernardo 1x0 Atlético GO

CriciúmaWLWWL

Criciúma's last matches
10/12	Criciúma 1x0 América Mineiro
10/08	Ceará 1x0 Criciúma
10/02	Londrina 0x2 Criciúma
09/27	Criciúma 3x0 Avaí
09/22	Criciúma 0x2 Operário PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Bernardo and Criciúma
06/27/2026	Criciúma 1x0 São Bernardo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 34

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs Criciúma

What was the score of São Bernardo vs Criciúma?: São Bernardo 0 x 1 Criciúma, Sunday, October 18, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs Criciúma?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs Criciúma?: São Bernardo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 2 to 9, and corners were 9 to 2.
How did São Bernardo and Criciúma arrive for this match?: São Bernardo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Criciúma 1 x 0 São Bernardo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.