São Bernardo 0 x 1 Juventude: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 14

São Bernardo

Home

0 × 1

Juventude

Away

Sunday, June 21 · 05:00 PMEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win40.6%

Draw23.5%

Juventude win35.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals10.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Juventude beat São Bernardo 1 to 0 away from home, Sunday, June 21, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 15 to 8, and corners were 1 to 4.

São Bernardo arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

Match statistics

58%Possession42%

5On target3

15Shots8

1Corners4

16Fouls13

2Offsides1

2Saves5

3Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoDWDWD

São Bernardo's last matches
06/14	São Bernardo 0x0 Sport Recife
06/07	CRB 2x3 São Bernardo
05/31	São Bernardo 1x1 Novorizontino
05/24	Atlético GO 0x1 São Bernardo
05/16	São Bernardo 1x1 América Mineiro

JuventudeWLWLD

Juventude's last matches
06/14	Juventude 3x0 Ponte Preta
06/05	Operário PR 2x1 Juventude
05/29	Juventude 3x0 América Mineiro
05/23	Juventude 0x1 Sport Recife
05/17	Athletic Club 1x1 Juventude

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 14

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs Juventude

What was the score of São Bernardo vs Juventude?: São Bernardo 0 x 1 Juventude, Sunday, June 21, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs Juventude?: The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs Juventude?: São Bernardo had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 15 to 8, and corners were 1 to 4.
How did São Bernardo and Juventude arrive for this match?: São Bernardo arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.