Atlético Mineiro 1 x 0 Bragantino: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 21

Atlético Mineiro

Atlético Mineiro

Home

1 × 0

Bragantino

Bragantino

Away

Arena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win44.3%
Draw36.5%
Bragantino win19.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals24.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro beat Bragantino 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, October 3, at Arena MRV and in the Série A 2026.

Bragantino had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 16, and corners were 5 to 10.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Bragantino 1 x 0 Atlético Mineiro.

Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino stats

Match statistics
40%Possession60%
3On target7
8Shots16
5Corners10
16Fouls9
3Offsides0
7Saves2
1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroDWLWW

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
09/19Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Chapecoense
09/12Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Fluminense
09/05São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
09/01Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/29Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória

BragantinoLDLLW

Bragantino's last matches
09/20Flamengo 2x1 Bragantino
09/12Botafogo 1x1 Bragantino
09/05Bragantino 2x3 Bahia
08/29São Paulo 2x1 Bragantino
08/23Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino
02/04/2026Bragantino 1x0 Atlético Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 21

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino?
Atlético Mineiro 1 x 0 Bragantino, Saturday, October 3, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino?
The model pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino?
Bragantino had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 16, and corners were 5 to 10.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino arrive for this match?
Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Bragantino 1 x 0 Atlético Mineiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.