What was the score of Sarmiento vs River Plate?

Sarmiento 1 x 1 River Plate, Wednesday, October 14, at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

Sarmiento 1 x 1 River Plate: stats and analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026, round 11

Sarmiento

Home

1 × 1

River Plate

Away

Wednesday, October 14 · 07:00 PMEstadio Eva Perón de Junín

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sarmiento win34.0%

Draw31.6%

River Plate win34.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals62.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sarmiento and River Plate drew 1 to 1, Wednesday, October 14, at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín and in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.

River Plate had more of the ball (73% possession), shots were 7 to 15, and corners were 5 to 9.

Sarmiento arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). River Plate arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Sarmiento, 2 for River Plate and 1 draw.

Match statistics

27%Possession73%

4On target8

7Shots15

5Corners9

20Fouls8

0Offsides1

7Saves3

3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a River Plate win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

SarmientoWLDWL

Sarmiento's last matches
10/09	Aldosivi 1x3 Sarmiento
09/18	Racing Club 3x1 Sarmiento
09/13	Sarmiento 1x1 Belgrano
09/04	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0x2 Sarmiento
08/28	Unión Santa Fe 4x1 Sarmiento

River PlateWLWWW

River Plate's last matches
10/10	River Plate 1x0 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
09/19	River Plate 1x2 Huracán
09/12	Atlético Tucumán 1x2 River Plate
09/06	River Plate 3x1 Independiente Rivadavia
08/30	Banfield 2x3 River Plate

Head-to-head

Last matches between Sarmiento and River Plate
03/15/2026	River Plate 2x0 Sarmiento
10/12/2025	River Plate 0x1 Sarmiento
04/05/2025	Sarmiento 1x1 River Plate
07/28/2024	River Plate 1x0 Sarmiento

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 11

Frequently asked questions about Sarmiento vs River Plate

What was the score of Sarmiento vs River Plate?: Sarmiento 1 x 1 River Plate, Wednesday, October 14, at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026.
What did the model predict for Sarmiento vs River Plate?: The model pointed to a River Plate win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Sarmiento vs River Plate?: River Plate had more of the ball (73% possession), shots were 7 to 15, and corners were 5 to 9.
How did Sarmiento and River Plate arrive for this match?: Sarmiento arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). River Plate arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Sarmiento, 2 for River Plate and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.