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Vitória 0 x 2 Vasco da Gama: stats and analysis

Copa do Brasil 2026

Vitória

Vitória

Home

0 × 2

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Away

Estádio Manoel Barradas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vitória win39.1%
Draw26.5%
Vasco da Gama win34.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals85.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama beat Vitória 2 to 0 away from home, Wednesday, September 2, at Estádio Manoel Barradas and in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Vitória had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 5 to 10, and corners were 0 to 3.

Vitória arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Vitória, 1 for Vasco da Gama and 0 draws.

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama stats

Match statistics
62%Possession38%
1On target5
5Shots10
0Corners3
17Fouls19
4Offsides0
3Saves1
2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vitória win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

VitóriaLLLWL

Vitória's last matches
08/29Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória
08/26Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
08/23Vitória 0x2 Bahia
08/16Vitória 1x0 Botafogo
08/09Flamengo 2x0 Vitória

Vasco da GamaWWLLD

Vasco da Gama's last matches
08/29Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro
08/26Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
08/23Palmeiras 4x1 Vasco da Gama
08/16Vasco da Gama 0x3 Santos
08/09Bahia 0x0 Vasco da Gama

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vitória and Vasco da Gama
08/26/2026Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
07/16/2026Vitória 1x0 Vasco da Gama
05/10/2025Vitória 2x1 Vasco da Gama

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score of Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?
Vitória 0 x 2 Vasco da Gama, Wednesday, September 2, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.
What did the model predict for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?
The model pointed to a Vitória win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?
Vitória had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 5 to 10, and corners were 0 to 3.
How did Vitória and Vasco da Gama arrive for this match?
Vitória arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Vitória, 1 for Vasco da Gama and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.