Vila Nova 2 x 2 CRB: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 1

Vila Nova

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2 × 2

CRB

Away

Saturday, March 21 · 05:00 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win40.7%

Draw36.9%

CRB win22.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals79.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova and CRB drew 2 to 2, Saturday, March 21, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

CRB had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 7 to 12, and corners were 3 to 5.

Vila Nova arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). CRB arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Vila Nova, 1 for CRB and 0 draws.

Match statistics

35%Possession65%

4On target9

7Shots12

3Corners5

2Fouls1

0Offsides1

6Saves2

4Yellow cards4

1Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaDDDLD

Vila Nova's last matches
03/18	Vila Nova 0x0 Confiança
03/12	Vila Nova 1x1 Operário MS
03/04	Velo Clube 0x0 Vila Nova
11/15	CRB 2x0 Vila Nova
10/02	Vila Nova 1x1 Criciúma

CRBWWWWL

CRB's last matches
03/18	CRB 1x0 Figueirense
03/12	Sousa 0x2 CRB
03/03	CRB 6x0 Porto BA
11/15	CRB 2x0 Vila Nova
08/07	CRB 0x2 Cruzeiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vila Nova and CRB
11/15/2025	CRB 2x0 Vila Nova
09/04/2024	Vila Nova 1x0 CRB

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs CRB

What was the score of Vila Nova vs CRB?: Vila Nova 2 x 2 CRB, Saturday, March 21, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs CRB?: The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs CRB?: CRB had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 7 to 12, and corners were 3 to 5.
How did Vila Nova and CRB arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). CRB arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Vila Nova, 1 for CRB and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.