Vasco da Gama 1 x 0 Vitória: stats and analysis

Copa do Brasil 2026

Vasco da Gama

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1 × 0

Vitória

Away

Wednesday, August 26 · 09:30 PMEstádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vasco da Gama win35.4%

Draw19.5%

Vitória win45.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals81.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama beat Vitória 1 to 0 at home, Wednesday, August 26, at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama and in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Vitória had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 11 to 12, and corners were 1 to 5.

Vasco da Gama arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vitória arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Vasco da Gama, 2 for Vitória and 0 draws.

Match statistics

36%Possession64%

5On target6

11Shots12

1Corners5

9Fouls8

1Offsides4

6Saves4

0Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vitória win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vasco da GamaLLDWD

Vasco da Gama's last matches
08/23	Palmeiras 4x1 Vasco da Gama
08/16	Vasco da Gama 0x3 Santos
08/09	Bahia 0x0 Vasco da Gama
08/05	Fluminense 1x3 Vasco da Gama
08/01	Vasco da Gama 0x0 Fluminense

VitóriaLWLWL

Vitória's last matches
08/23	Vitória 0x2 Bahia
08/16	Vitória 1x0 Botafogo
08/09	Flamengo 2x0 Vitória
08/06	Vitória 4x0 Athletico PR
08/03	Athletico PR 2x0 Vitória

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vasco da Gama and Vitória
07/16/2026	Vitória 1x0 Vasco da Gama
05/10/2025	Vitória 2x1 Vasco da Gama

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches today

Palmeiras 3 x 0 Santos08/26

Frequently asked questions about Vasco da Gama vs Vitória

What was the score of Vasco da Gama vs Vitória?: Vasco da Gama 1 x 0 Vitória, Wednesday, August 26, at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Vitória?: The model pointed to a Vitória win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vasco da Gama vs Vitória?: Vitória had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 11 to 12, and corners were 1 to 5.
How did Vasco da Gama and Vitória arrive for this match?: Vasco da Gama arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vitória arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Vasco da Gama, 2 for Vitória and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.