Sport Recife 1 x 1 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 2

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Home

1 × 1

Vila Nova

Vila Nova

Away

Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win31.2%
Draw45.8%
Vila Nova win23.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife and Vila Nova drew 1 to 1, Wednesday, April 1, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 9 to 13, and corners were 6 to 3.

Sport Recife arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

Sport Recife vs Vila Nova stats

Match statistics
39%Possession61%
7On target2
9Shots13
6Corners3
11Fouls12
2Offsides2
1Saves6
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeDLDDL

Sport Recife's last matches
03/21Cuiabá 0x0 Sport Recife
03/17Sport Recife 1x3 Athletic Club
03/12Sport Recife 1x1 Anápolis
03/05Desportiva ES 0x0 Sport Recife
12/07Sport Recife 0x4 Grêmio

Vila NovaDDDDL

Vila Nova's last matches
03/21Vila Nova 2x2 CRB
03/18Vila Nova 0x0 Confiança
03/12Vila Nova 1x1 Operário MS
03/04Velo Clube 0x0 Vila Nova
11/15CRB 2x0 Vila Nova

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs Vila Nova

What was the score of Sport Recife vs Vila Nova?
Sport Recife 1 x 1 Vila Nova, Wednesday, April 1, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Vila Nova?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs Vila Nova?
Vila Nova had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 9 to 13, and corners were 6 to 3.
How did Sport Recife and Vila Nova arrive for this match?
Sport Recife arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.