Ponte Preta 1 x 1 Ceará: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 2

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Home

1 × 1

Ceará

Ceará

Away

Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ponte Preta win30.1%
Draw46.3%
Ceará win23.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ponte Preta and Ceará drew 1 to 1, Wednesday, April 1, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli and in the Série B 2026.

Ponte Preta had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 8 to 10, and corners were 4 to 6.

Ponte Preta arrived with 1 win and 3 losses in the last 4 matches (3 of 12 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Ponte Preta vs Ceará stats

Match statistics
59%Possession41%
5On target4
8Shots10
4Corners6
20Fouls13
0Offsides1
3Saves3
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Ponte PretaLLWL

Ponte Preta's last matches
03/22Athletic Club 2x1 Ponte Preta
03/18Atlético GO 1x0 Ponte Preta
03/10Ponte Preta 1x0 Guarany de Bagé
02/26Concórdia Atlético Clube 2x1 Ponte Preta

CearáDDWWD

Ceará's last matches
03/21Ceará 1x1 São Bernardo
03/17São Bernardo 0x0 Ceará
03/12Maranhão 0x1 Ceará
02/26Ceará 2x1 Primavera SP
11/29Ceará 1x1 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs Ceará

What was the score of Ponte Preta vs Ceará?
Ponte Preta 1 x 1 Ceará, Wednesday, April 1, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Ceará?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ponte Preta vs Ceará?
Ponte Preta had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 8 to 10, and corners were 4 to 6.
How did Ponte Preta and Ceará arrive for this match?
Ponte Preta arrived with 1 win and 3 losses in the last 4 matches (3 of 12 points). Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.