Palmeiras 0 x 1 Fluminense: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home

0 × 1

Fluminense

Fluminense

Away

Allianz Parque

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Palmeiras win55.3%
Draw31.7%
Fluminense win13.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fluminense beat Palmeiras 1 to 0 away from home, Wednesday, October 21, at Allianz Parque and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 8 to 2, and corners were 2 to 4.

Palmeiras arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Palmeiras, 1 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense stats

Match statistics
51%Possession49%
1On target2
8Shots2
2Corners4
11Fouls13
2Offsides0
1Saves1
2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

PalmeirasWWWWD

Palmeiras's last matches
10/17Athletico PR 0x2 Palmeiras
10/14Fluminense 1x2 Palmeiras
10/11Palmeiras 4x1 Corinthians
10/08Palmeiras 1x0 Bahia
09/20Grêmio 0x0 Palmeiras

FluminenseLLLWW

Fluminense's last matches
10/18Fluminense 1x2 Santos
10/14Fluminense 1x2 Palmeiras
10/11Flamengo 1x0 Fluminense
10/08Fluminense 4x0 Coritiba
09/20Corinthians 1x3 Fluminense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Palmeiras and Fluminense
10/14/2026Fluminense 1x2 Palmeiras
08/15/2026Fluminense 3x2 Palmeiras
02/25/2026Palmeiras 2x1 Fluminense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Frequently asked questions about Palmeiras vs Fluminense

What was the score of Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Palmeiras 0 x 1 Fluminense, Wednesday, October 21, at Allianz Parque, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Palmeiras had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 8 to 2, and corners were 2 to 4.
How did Palmeiras and Fluminense arrive for this match?
Palmeiras arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Palmeiras, 1 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.