Palmeiras 1 x 1 Cerro Porteño: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home

1 × 1

Cerro Porteño

Cerro Porteño

Away

Allianz Parque

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Palmeiras win30.3%
Draw42.8%
Cerro Porteño win27.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals21.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño drew 1 to 1, Wednesday, August 12, at Allianz Parque and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 18 to 5, and corners were 7 to 2.

Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Cerro Porteño arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Palmeiras, 1 for Cerro Porteño and 1 draw.

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño stats

Match statistics
61%Possession39%
7On target1
18Shots5
7Corners2
10Fouls16
6Offsides1
1Saves5
0Yellow cards5
1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

PalmeirasDLWWL

Palmeiras's last matches
08/09Palmeiras 0x0 Internacional
08/05Fortaleza 3x2 Palmeiras
08/02Palmeiras 3x0 Fortaleza
07/29Vitória 0x4 Palmeiras
07/26Palmeiras 1x2 Atlético Mineiro

Cerro PorteñoWWWDW

Cerro Porteño's last matches
05/28Cerro Porteño 2x0 Sporting Cristal
05/20Palmeiras 0x1 Cerro Porteño
05/07Junior FC 0x1 Cerro Porteño
04/29Cerro Porteño 1x1 Palmeiras
04/14Cerro Porteño 1x0 Junior FC

Head-to-head

Last matches between Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño
05/20/2026Palmeiras 0x1 Cerro Porteño
04/29/2026Cerro Porteño 1x1 Palmeiras
05/07/2025Cerro Porteño 0x2 Palmeiras
04/09/2025Palmeiras 1x0 Cerro Porteño

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches today

Frequently asked questions about Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño

What was the score of Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño?
Palmeiras 1 x 1 Cerro Porteño, Wednesday, August 12, at Allianz Parque, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño?
Palmeiras had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 18 to 5, and corners were 7 to 2.
How did Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño arrive for this match?
Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Cerro Porteño arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Palmeiras, 1 for Cerro Porteño and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.